Sertanense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
IRI
1 - 1
SER
30%
22%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
SER
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
FAT
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
SER
8%
15%
77%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
90%
9%
2%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 1
UDL
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UDL
3 - 0
MAC
90%
9%
2%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UDL
0 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 2
UDL
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |