Sertanense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
SER
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 3
SER
13%
18%
70%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
OLE
83%
13%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
6%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
UDL
52%
24%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAR
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
ANM
88%
10%
3%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |