Sertanense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
SER
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SER
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
CRA
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
SER
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SER
1 - 5
UNM
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UDL
6 - 2
ADM
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 0
BEN
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
UDL
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
NAV
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |