Sertanense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ELE
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FAT
0 - 0
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ELE
1 - 2
UDL
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
4 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |