Sertanense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ELE
0 - 0
SER
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
MAF
43%
28%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
SER
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
CAL
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
33%
26%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
UDL
17%
22%
62%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 1
ELE
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAT
2 - 2
UDL
22%
24%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |