Sertanense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
0 - 0
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CAS
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
3 - 1
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 3
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 2
FAT
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 0
UDL
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 1
1DE
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
UDL
4 - 0
QUA
77%
17%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |