Sertanense vs União de Coimbra analysis

Sertanense União de Coimbra
42 ELO 67
-24.7% Tilt -16.1%
6579º General ELO ranking 2151º
141º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
14.1%
Sertanense
24.2%
Draw
61.7%
União de Coimbra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
Sertanense
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
61.7%
Win probability
União de Coimbra
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sertanense
-36%
-39%
União de Coimbra

Points and table prediction

Sertanense
Their league position
União de Coimbra
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
38
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
União Santarém
55
55
100%
Lusitânia
51
51
100%
Marinhense
50
50
100%
FC Alverca II
39
39
100%
União de Coimbra
38
38
100%
Benfica Castelo Branco
37
37
100%
Sertanense
37
37
0%
Mortágua
37
37
0%
Peniche
37
37
100%
Fontinhas
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Rabo Peixe
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Vitoria de Sernache
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Gouveia
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Uniao Tomar
14º
17
17
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sertanense
União de Coimbra
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sertanense
União de Coimbra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sertanense
Sertanense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
USA
União Santarém
2 - 0
Sertanense
SER
65%
21%
14%
43 49 6 0
28 Jan. 2024
SER
Sertanense
0 - 0
Lusitânia
LUS
34%
26%
39%
43 44 1 0
21 Jan. 2024
MAR
Marinhense
1 - 0
Sertanense
SER
45%
26%
29%
44 43 1 -1
14 Jan. 2024
RAB
Rabo Peixe
0 - 2
Sertanense
SER
39%
28%
34%
42 41 1 +2
07 Jan. 2024
PEN
Peniche
2 - 1
Sertanense
SER
21%
24%
55%
43 31 12 -1

Matches

União de Coimbra
União de Coimbra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
COI
União de Coimbra
2 - 1
Lusitânia
LUS
69%
20%
11%
66 44 22 0
28 Jan. 2024
RAB
Rabo Peixe
2 - 0
União de Coimbra
COI
15%
22%
64%
66 39 27 0
21 Jan. 2024
COI
União de Coimbra
2 - 0
Fontinhas
GDF
75%
17%
8%
66 37 29 0
14 Jan. 2024
UFT
Uniao Tomar
2 - 1
União de Coimbra
COI
17%
22%
61%
66 36 30 0
07 Jan. 2024
COI
União de Coimbra
1 - 2
FC Alverca II
FCA
75%
17%
8%
66 35 31 0