Sertanense vs UD Rio Maior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
9º
6º
6
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
SER
26%
28%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
1DE
60%
25%
16%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 1
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
SER
20%
27%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
CAS
38%
29%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Rio Maior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDR
0 - 2
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
UDR
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDR
0 - 1
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
UDR
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UDR
2 - 2
SIN
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |