Sertanense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 2
SER
10%
17%
73%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
ADN
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
SER
54%
25%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 4
VIL
16%
25%
59%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
FAT
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -3 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
ANA
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 2
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |