Sertanense vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
OGR
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
ADN
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
SOU
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 6
PAM
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
ADM
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |