Sertanense vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
4 - 0
SER
93%
6%
1%
|
45 | 89 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SER
0 - 4
FCP
3%
13%
84%
|
46 | 89 | 43 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 1
SER
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
OLH
3 - 1
VST
45%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FCP
2 - 0
OLH
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
OLH
2 - 0
POR
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SCP
0 - 0
OLH
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 0
UDL
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |