Sertanense vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 3
SER
30%
26%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
IDA
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
8%
19%
73%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 3
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PRA
2 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GDF
1 - 0
PRA
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 1
BEN
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 0
PRA
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 1
IDE
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |