Sertanense vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ADM
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEN
70%
20%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAV
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
ADM
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |