Sertanense vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 3
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
OLE
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLE
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 4
UDL
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
OLE
10%
17%
73%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
OLE
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |