Sertanense vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
CON
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
CAN
38%
25%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
SER
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PRA
3 - 0
SER
74%
18%
9%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SER
2 - 1
FAR
5%
14%
81%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEN
48%
26%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
OLE
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
PRA
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BMA
0 - 0
OLE
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
OLE
18%
21%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |