Sertanense vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAV
0 - 4
SER
9%
15%
75%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ADN
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ADM
1 - 0
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
LUS
49%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 1
SER
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 2
RDA
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
OLE
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 2
SOU
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLE
27%
22%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |