Sertanense vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SER
3 - 0
GDA
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 2
SER
11%
16%
73%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ANG
59%
23%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
LUS
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 2
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
5 - 1
ADO
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MER
3 - 2
MAR
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |