Sertanense vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SER
1 - 4
ORI
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
3 - 3
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAF
0 - 1
ORI
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
3 - 0
MAF
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MAF
2 - 1
FER
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 3
MAF
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 3
BEN
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |