Sertanense vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 2
SER
11%
16%
73%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ANG
59%
23%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 2
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
2 - 2
IDE
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
3 - 0
GAF
57%
21%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
4 - 0
GDA
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
0 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 1
GDA
82%
14%
5%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |