Sertanense vs Gafetense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 2
SER
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
BEN
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
LUS
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 1
SER
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 1
GDA
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
GAF
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
GAF
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 2
BEN
9%
18%
73%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 3
ACV
8%
16%
75%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |