Sertanense vs Fornos de Algodres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.6%
2.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLE
1 - 0
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SER
5 - 0
FAV
80%
13%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 2
SER
26%
27%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SER
4 - 0
ADM
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 0
SER
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
RDA
7%
15%
78%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
FAL
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 1
SOU
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
FAL
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 5
BEN
6%
13%
81%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | -1 |