Sertanense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
SER
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 1
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
BMA
14%
22%
64%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
1 - 0
SER
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PRA
1 - 1
FAT
75%
17%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FAT
3 - 3
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 1
FAT
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAL
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |