Sertanense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
SER
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 6
SER
18%
23%
60%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
UDL
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ELE
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
UDL
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ELE
2 - 0
FAT
46%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAT
1 - 1
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 2
FAT
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
FAT
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |