Sertanense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
5 - 2
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
BEN
43%
29%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAV
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |