Sertanense vs Benfica analysis

Sertanense Benfica
45 ELO 87
-15% Tilt -9.4%
6478º General ELO ranking 101º
141º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
4.9%
Sertanense
15.1%
Draw
80%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
Sertanense
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.1%
80%
Win probability
Benfica
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
18.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Sertanense
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sertanense
Sertanense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2018
ALV
FC Alverca
0 - 1
Sertanense
SER
20%
21%
59%
45 30 15 0
30 Sep. 2018
VIT
Vitoria de Sernache
1 - 3
Sertanense
SER
24%
26%
50%
44 34 10 +1
23 Sep. 2018
SER
Sertanense
3 - 2
Anadia
ANA
39%
27%
34%
43 45 2 +1
16 Sep. 2018
UDL
União de Leiria
3 - 0
Sertanense
SER
77%
16%
8%
44 55 11 -1
09 Sep. 2018
SER
Sertanense
2 - 0
Beneditense
BEN
75%
16%
9%
44 20 24 0

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2018
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Porto
FCP
46%
25%
29%
87 88 1 0
02 Oct. 2018
AEK
AEK Athens
2 - 3
Benfica
SLB
44%
25%
31%
87 86 1 0
27 Sep. 2018
CHA
Chaves
2 - 2
Benfica
SLB
16%
22%
62%
87 74 13 0
23 Sep. 2018
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Desportivo Aves
AVE
81%
13%
6%
87 70 17 0
19 Sep. 2018
SLB
Benfica
0 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
15%
18%
67%
87 94 7 0