Sertanense vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 6
SER
18%
23%
60%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
UDL
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ELE
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FAT
0 - 0
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 3
UDL
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ELE
3 - 2
ALC
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 2
FAT
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
TOR
37%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |