Serrano SC vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
SER
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
JUA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
BAH
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLU
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
FLU
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 3
JUA
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 2
BAH
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |