Serrano SC vs Feirense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
BAH
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FEI
0 - 0
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SER
2 - 3
VIT
12%
20%
69%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Feirense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 1
VIT
11%
18%
70%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FEI
0 - 0
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 1
FEI
47%
24%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
4 - 1
FEI
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 3
VIT
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |