Serrano SC vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAC
5 - 0
SER
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
GAL
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
90%
8%
3%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAH
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 3
BAH
16%
24%
59%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 1
JAC
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 2
BAH
23%
26%
52%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |