Serrano SC vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 1
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 3
BAH
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
FEI
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
ITA
55%
23%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
FLU
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
JUA
0 - 4
ALA
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 3
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |