Serrano FC vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
TIG
1 - 2
SFC
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 0
FRI
13%
19%
67%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +3 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
BON
3 - 1
SFC
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SFC
1 - 2
AFC
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 2
SFC
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
DUQ
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
CAA
1 - 0
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BON
2 - 1
SER
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 3
FRI
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
OLA
1 - 3
SER
35%
28%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |