Carioca 2 FINAL STAGES Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Serrano FC vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
SFC
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 0
CGA
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 4
SFC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 1
SFC
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
SFC
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 0
PER
27%
24%
50%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PER
5 - 2
CGA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
PAD
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |