Serrano FC vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
4 - 1
BON
24%
23%
54%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
SFC
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 1
ANG
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
SFC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
CIG
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CIG
2 - 0
PER
19%
20%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
CGA
32%
22%
46%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 1
PER
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |