Serrano FC vs Itaborai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
AME
2 - 0
SFC
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 1
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AUD
3 - 0
SFC
72%
18%
11%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 0
SAM
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
SFC
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 1
GOY
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
FRI
3 - 4
ITA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 0
TIG
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PET
0 - 1
ITA
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 2
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |