Serrano FC vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
54.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
SFC
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 0
SAO
15%
20%
66%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
OLA
2 - 0
SFC
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 0
AUD
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GOY
2 - 0
SFC
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
PET
0 - 0
ITA
54%
22%
25%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PET
4 - 2
BON
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
PET
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
PET
2 - 5
FRI
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TIG
2 - 2
PET
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |