Serrano FC vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
51.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
SFC
59%
20%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
SFC
0 - 1
SAO
18%
19%
64%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
FRI
2 - 1
SFC
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
SFC
1 - 2
TIG
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 0
SFC
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
PET
0 - 1
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
SER
1 - 3
PET
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
SAM
3 - 1
PET
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PET
0 - 1
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
AME
3 - 0
PET
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |