Serrano FC vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
65%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 0
SFC
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
SFC
2 - 1
SCR
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
DUQ
3 - 0
SFC
77%
13%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
SFC
0 - 1
BAR
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
TIG
4 - 0
SFC
73%
15%
11%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
PET
1 - 2
FRI
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 0
PET
34%
21%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
PET
31%
22%
48%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
PET
4 - 3
SCR
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
DUQ
5 - 3
PET
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |