Serrano FC vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GOY
2 - 0
SFC
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 2
AME
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SFC
3 - 0
ITA
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
SFC
50%
23%
26%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
DUQ
2 - 0
SFC
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
POR
3 - 0
AUD
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 1
PET
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 1
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 0
AUD
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |