Serrallo CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrallo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AGU
3 - 0
SCF
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SCF
2 - 0
REC
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
SFE
3 - 0
SCF
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SCF
1 - 1
DHE
20%
25%
55%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 0
SCF
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LUC
2 - 0
AYA
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ATC
4 - 2
LUC
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 1
VVA
44%
28%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 2
LUC
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 1
BOL
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |