Serra Talhada vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 1
SER
54%
23%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
SPO
10%
17%
74%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
SAL
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
SER
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 2
NAU
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
YPI
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
4 - 3
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
AME
89%
8%
3%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |