Serra Macaense vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 1
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
PET
0 - 2
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
5 - 1
SER
62%
23%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
NCI
1 - 0
SFC
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 0
SAM
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
4 - 0
SFC
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SFC
3 - 2
PET
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
SFC
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |