Serra Macaense vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 2
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SER
1 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 6
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
PAD
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
4 - 1
SER
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
4 - 0
PER
21%
21%
58%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
FRI
43%
24%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
SFC
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |