Serra Macaense vs Mesquita FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 3
SER
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 3
QUI
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
CEC
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
SER
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
RBC
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 3
MES
46%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MES
2 - 3
TIG
17%
25%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MES
0 - 3
CER
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RBC
2 - 0
MES
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |