Serra Macaense vs Mesquita FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SCR
3 - 0
SER
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
SER
2 - 2
VRE
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
SER
4 - 0
CDA
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
CAM
1 - 1
SER
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SER
1 - 2
REC
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
MES
1 - 0
VRE
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
SCR
0 - 1
MES
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 3
MES
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CFZ
1 - 2
MES
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 2
MES
61%
23%
17%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +2 |