Serra Macaense vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FAC
3 - 1
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
COL
1 - 1
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
JAG
3 - 2
SER
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
SER
1 - 1
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PIN
1 - 3
SER
80%
15%
6%
|
29 | 74 | 45 | +2 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
MAC
3 - 0
CAM
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |