Serra Macaense vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
ANG
1 - 2
SER
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
SAM
47%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
SER
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
BAR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
AME
2 - 3
SER
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
SAM
3 - 1
PET
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PET
0 - 1
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
AME
3 - 0
PET
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
PET
3 - 1
SCR
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ANG
3 - 1
PET
49%
23%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |