Serra Macaense vs Floresta AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CDA
1 - 1
SER
19%
22%
60%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SER
0 - 0
CAM
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
REC
0 - 2
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SER
0 - 0
MAC
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FAC
3 - 1
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Floresta AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CAM
1 - 2
FAC
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FAC
2 - 1
REC
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 1
FAC
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CDA
0 - 1
FAC
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FAC
3 - 1
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |