Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-6
Serra Macaense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
SER
1 - 3
RBC
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
AFC
3 - 0
SER
63%
20%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SER
0 - 0
ITA
59%
22%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SER
0 - 1
GOY
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
FAC
0 - 0
SER
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSA
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 1
COR
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 1
COR
28%
25%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 2
CAP
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |