Serra Macaense vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 3
POR
26%
26%
49%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 8
AME
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
32%
24%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
JFC
0 - 3
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BON
1 - 0
CAB
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
CAB
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAB
5 - 2
ANG
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CAB
0 - 1
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 4
CAB
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |