Serra Macaense vs Angra dos Reis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUQ
0 - 1
SER
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 4
SFC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 1
SER
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SER
0 - 4
PAD
42%
24%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
SER
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Angra dos Reis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
5 - 0
ANG
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 3
DUQ
24%
26%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 0
ANG
53%
23%
23%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 2
ADC
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
ANG
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |